Free Trading Journal & Risk-Reward Calculator

Log trades, analyze performance, and simulate your strategy. Free, no signup, no broker connection. Works for stocks, forex, and crypto.

Expectancy Matrix

Net R-multiples over 100 trades for each win rate and R:R combination. Positive cells (green) are profitable strategies. Negative cells (red) lose money long-term regardless of individual trade outcomes. Find your target win rate on the left and your minimum R:R on top. The cell shows your net R outcome.

Win Rate1:0.51:11:1.51:21:2.51:31:41:5
20%-70.0R-60.0R-50.0R-40.0R-30.0R-20.0R+0.0R+20.0R
25%-62.5R-50.0R-37.5R-25.0R-12.5R+0.0R+25.0R+50.0R
30%-55.0R-40.0R-25.0R-10.0R+5.0R+20.0R+50.0R+80.0R
35%-47.5R-30.0R-12.5R+5.0R+22.5R+40.0R+75.0R+110.0R
40%-40.0R-20.0R+0.0R+20.0R+40.0R+60.0R+100.0R+140.0R
45%-32.5R-10.0R+12.5R+35.0R+57.5R+80.0R+125.0R+170.0R
50%-25.0R+0.0R+25.0R+50.0R+75.0R+100.0R+150.0R+200.0R
55%-17.5R+10.0R+37.5R+65.0R+92.5R+120.0R+175.0R+230.0R
60%-10.0R+20.0R+50.0R+80.0R+110.0R+140.0R+200.0R+260.0R
65%-2.5R+30.0R+62.5R+95.0R+127.5R+160.0R+225.0R+290.0R
70%+5.0R+40.0R+75.0R+110.0R+145.0R+180.0R+250.0R+320.0R

Values in R-multiples per 100 trades at any risk size.

Losing Streak Probability

Probability of hitting at least one losing streak of N consecutive losses within 100 trades. Even at a 60% win rate, a streak of 5 losses in a row is more likely than most traders expect. Your account needs to survive the streaks your strategy will statistically produce.

Win Rate3 in a row4 in a row5 in a row6 in a row7 in a row8 in a row10 in a row
30%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%99.6%92.6%
35%100.0%100.0%100.0%99.9%99.1%95.1%70.9%
40%100.0%100.0%100.0%98.9%93.1%79.3%42.4%
45%100.0%100.0%99.3%93.1%76.4%54.3%20.6%
50%100.0%99.8%95.3%77.6%52.2%30.5%8.5%
55%100.0%98.3%83.3%54.7%29.7%14.5%3.1%
60%99.8%91.9%62.8%32.3%14.3%5.9%0.9%
65%98.6%76.9%39.7%16.0%5.9%2.1%0.3%
70%93.2%54.6%20.8%6.7%2.0%0.6%0.1%

Drawdown Impact ($10,000 Account)

How much of your account you lose at each risk level during a losing streak. A 2% risk per trade with 8 consecutive losses costs 15% of your account. At 5% risk, that same streak removes 34%. Smaller position sizes reduce drawdown severity. The math compounds in both directions.

Risk %3 losses4 losses5 losses6 losses7 losses8 losses10 losses
0.5%
1.5%
-$149
2.0%
-$199
2.5%
-$248
3.0%
-$296
3.4%
-$345
3.9%
-$393
4.9%
-$489
1.0%
3.0%
-$297
3.9%
-$394
4.9%
-$490
5.9%
-$585
6.8%
-$679
7.7%
-$773
9.6%
-$956
1.5%
4.4%
-$443
5.9%
-$587
7.3%
-$728
8.7%
-$867
10.0%
-$1004
11.4%
-$1139
14.0%
-$1403
2.0%
5.9%
-$588
7.8%
-$776
9.6%
-$961
11.4%
-$1142
13.2%
-$1319
14.9%
-$1492
18.3%
-$1829
3.0%
8.7%
-$873
11.5%
-$1147
14.1%
-$1413
16.7%
-$1670
19.2%
-$1920
21.6%
-$2163
26.3%
-$2626
5.0%
14.3%
-$1426
18.5%
-$1855
22.6%
-$2262
26.5%
-$2649
30.2%
-$3017
33.7%
-$3366
40.1%
-$4013

Based on $10,000 account. Scales proportionally.

Key Takeaways

  • Tradicted is a free trading journal, risk-reward calculator, analytics suite, and Monte Carlo simulator in one tool. No account or subscription required.
  • The risk-reward ratio compares potential loss to potential gain. At 1:2, you break even with a 33.3% win rate. At 1:3, you need 25%. Most professional traders require at least 1:2 before entering any position.
  • R:R alone does not determine profitability. You need positive expectancy: your real win rate combined with your real R:R must produce net positive results. Your journal shows whether that holds.
  • Position sizing determines survival. A losing streak empties your account before a sound R:R has time to pay out. The drawdown table above shows what different risk levels cost in practice.
  • All trade data is stored locally in your browser. Nothing leaves your device.

What is a Trading Journal?

A trading journal is a log of every trade you take: entry price, stop-loss, take-profit, result, and the reasoning behind the position. Most traders overestimate their win rate and average R:R. Memory skews toward the wins. A log shows the actual split.

The Journal tab stores each trade with setup tags (Breakout, Reversal, S/R, Gap, Momentum, VWAP), psychology tags (Disciplined, Rule-based, FOMO, Revenge, Hesitated, Overconfident), a grade (A, B, C), notes, and an optional actual exit price for when you closed at a different level than your take-profit. At 30 to 40 trades, you start seeing which setups generate wins and where emotional decisions cost money.

How the Analytics Tab Works

Once you have logged trades, the Analytics tab aggregates your history into performance breakdowns. The overview shows total P&L, expectancy per trade, win rate, profit factor, average win and loss, max drawdown, current streak, and an equity curve across all closed trades.

The Breakdowns section shows performance by setup tag (which setups make money), by grade (A vs C performance), by direction (long and short win rates and P&L), by day of week, and by ticker. The emotional loss ratio shows what percentage of total losses came from trades tagged with negative psychology. Track this across 50 trades and you have a dollar figure for what those decisions cost.

What is Risk-Reward Ratio?

The risk-reward ratio measures how much you stand to gain compared to how much you stand to lose on a trade. A 1:3 ratio means risking $1 to make $3. Most professional traders require at least a 1:2 ratio before entering any position, regardless of how confident they feel about the setup.

Common Mistakes When Using Risk-Reward

Setting targets based on round numbers rather than price structure. If you need a 1:3 ratio to justify the trade but resistance sits at 1:2, the probability of hitting that target drops. You get a great ratio on paper and negative expectancy in practice.

Ignoring slippage and fees. Your realized R:R is worse than planned, more so in fast-moving markets or illiquid instruments. The Journal tab lets you log an actual exit price separate from your planned take-profit, so the Analytics tab can show you the gap between planned and realized R:R over your full trade history.

Widening stop losses after entry. You calculated a risk-reward setup before the trade, then moved the stop when price came close. Moving the stop destroys the planned R:R. How emotional trading destroys results covers this in depth.

Ignoring win rate. A 1:5 ratio with a 10% win rate produces negative expectancy. Theoretical R:R and real execution rarely match. Read why most beginners lose money trading for a full breakdown. Your journal measures the gap.

How to Use This Tool in Practice

Use the Calculator tab as a pre-trade checklist. Before each entry, plug in your planned entry, stop-loss, and take-profit. If the R:R comes in below 1:2, reconsider the trade or adjust your levels. Save it to the Journal with the setup tag and grade you would assign before you know the result.

After closing the trade, log the actual exit and mark it won or lost. At 20 to 30 trades, the Analytics tab has enough data to show patterns. At 50 trades, the numbers carry statistical weight. The Simulate tab lets you project what your current win rate and R:R produce over hundreds of trades and how much variance to expect.

Before risking real money, test your setups in the Tradicted stock market simulator on real historical charts. Start with paper trading to build the calculation habit, then use the position size calculator to find the exact share count for your account size and risk percentage.

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. Tradicted's trading journal is free. No signup, no account, and no broker connection required. The risk-reward calculator, trade journal, analytics suite, and Monte Carlo simulator all run free on web, iOS, and Android. Your trade data is stored locally in your browser. Nothing is sent to a server.

The Tradicted trading journal includes four tabs. The Calculator tab computes your risk-reward ratio, dollar risk and reward, position size, and breakeven win rate from your entry, stop-loss, and take-profit prices. The Journal tab lets you log trades with setup and psychology tags, grades, notes, and actual exit prices, with filtering by direction, result, grade, and ticker, plus CSV and JSON export. The Analytics tab shows equity curve, win rate, profit factor, expectancy, max drawdown, emotional loss ratio, and breakdowns by setup, grade, direction, and day of week. The Simulate tab runs a Monte Carlo equity simulator with configurable win rate, R:R, risk percentage, and trade count, displaying p10, median, and p90 confidence bands.

Yes. Tradicted covers the core functionality those platforms charge for: trade logging with setup and psychology tagging, performance analytics (win rate, profit factor, expectancy, equity curve, drawdowns), and a Monte Carlo simulator. Edgewonk costs $169–$197 per year, TraderSync $29–$79 per month, TradeZella $24–$33 per month, and Tradervue $29.95 per month. Tradicted is free with no trade count limits and no signup required. The main difference is that paid platforms support automated broker imports. Tradicted uses manual entry.

A trading journal is a record of every trade you take: entry, stop-loss, take-profit, result, and the reasoning behind each position. Reviewing it shows you which setups make money and whether your losses correlate with emotional decisions like revenge trading or FOMO. Most struggling traders have a sound strategy and execute it inconsistently. The journal shows where execution breaks down.

Risk-Reward Ratio = (Take Profit Price − Entry Price) ÷ (Entry Price − Stop Loss Price). If you enter at $50 with a stop loss at $48 and a take profit at $56, your risk is $2 and your reward is $6, giving a 1:3 ratio. The same formula applies to stocks, forex pairs, crypto, and options.

It depends on your risk-reward ratio. At 1:1 R:R you need above 50% wins to profit. At 1:2 you need 33.3%. At 1:3 you need 25%. At 1:5 you need 16.7%. The expectancy matrix on this page shows how each win rate and R:R combination performs over 100 trades. A good risk-reward ratio can make a low win rate strategy profitable. Your journal shows your real numbers.

Professional day traders target a minimum of 1:2, where potential profit is at least twice the potential loss. A 1:3 ratio is strong. You need a 25% win rate to break even. The right ratio depends on your win rate. Use the expectancy matrix on this page to find the combination that fits your strategy.

The Simulate tab runs multiple independent equity simulations using your configured win rate, R:R ratio, risk percentage per trade, and trade count. Each run plays out randomly based on your win rate. The chart shows individual run lines plus p10, median, and p90 confidence bands: the range of realistic outcomes your strategy produces. You see how much variance to expect from a positive-expectancy strategy, and how position sizing affects upside and drawdown severity.

Expectancy measures your average profit or loss per trade. Formula: Expectancy = (Win Rate × Average Win) − (Loss Rate × Average Loss). Positive expectancy means you profit over time. Example: 40% win rate, 1:2 R:R, $100 risk per trade: (0.40 × $200) − (0.60 × $100) = $20 per trade. The Analytics tab calculates your real expectancy from your journal history.

Risk no more than 1% of your account per trade. At 1% risk, 10 consecutive losing trades draw your account down about 9.6%. At 2% risk, that same streak costs 18.3%. At 5% risk, five consecutive losses cost 23%. The drawdown table on this page shows the full picture across risk levels and streak lengths.

Yes. The risk-reward and position size calculations work the same way for stocks, forex pairs, cryptocurrencies, and options. Enter your entry price, stop-loss, and take-profit in any denomination. The trade journal accepts any ticker symbol and stores your trades locally regardless of asset class.

Related Tools

Practice the setups you just calculated

Apply your risk-reward setups on real historical charts, risk-free, on Tradicted.

Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice. Results are based on simplified models and do not account for slippage, commissions, or market conditions. Do your own research before trading with real money.